Stacks are an integral part of everyday fantasy baseball. They can push a team to the top of a GPP by driving upside down. However, they are also viable in cash games, namely smaller stacks (two or three people) which mitigate the volatility of a full four person stack.
This article is your home throughout the 2022 Major League Baseball season for the best mats of the day. The main objective is to identify the highest upside down pile. Still, game theory will play a part in contrarian stacks making the cut as GPP options. However, stacks of chalk will also appear in this space.
Beyond my analysis in this space, I strongly suggest that numberFire premium members use our DFS Sharpstack tool and use the heatmap tool. The DFS Sharpstack allows stacks to be plugged into optimized rosters, allowing you to change settings and lock or kick players and teams. Meanwhile, the heatmap offers a one-stop-shop for opposing starting pitcher, implied total, park factor, and other notable goodies.
Now, let’s take a look at today’s top slate master mats.
The Milwaukee Brewers have the most desirable pitching game on Friday’s roster. According to FanGraphs, Robert Dugger had a 6.97 ERA and 5.57 xFIP while allowing 1.74 homers per nine innings over 82 2/3 innings (14 starts and 12 relief appearances) in his big league career.
In Triple-A, he had a 4.30 ERA and 4.82 FIP this year. Additionally, in 181 and 1/3 innings in Triple-A in his career, Dugger was beaten for a 5.96 ERA, 5.40 FIP, 1.47 WHIP and gave up 1.54 homers per nine innings. The 27-year-old is not a top caliber starter.
Additionally, the Cincinnati RedsThe bullpen is a punching bag that Brewers can beat tonight. Cincinnati’s 5.13 ERA for relievers is the highest rating in MLB — significantly higher than the second-highest ERA (4.67).
Milwaukee should have a treat tonight, and Rowdy Tellez ($3,600) is my favorite piece of their pile. In 201 plate appearances against right-handers at American Family Field, Tellez had an ISO of .307 and tore up 14 home runs. willy adames ($3,700) is another attractive piece from Beer Makers. He’s muscled for a .267 ISO and 17 dongs in 255 plate appearances against right-handers at home since joining the Brewers in a trade last season.
New York Yankees
New York Yankees have a draw against Dakota Hudson tonight. The right-handed ERA 4.10 this year paints a picture of an average starter. However, his 5.45 Expected ERA (xERA), 4.89 xFIP and 5.20 SIERA are harbingers of regression towards his already disappointing ERA.
Hudson is also playing with fire with his approach. The right-hander has a putrid takedown rate of 12.8% and a walk rate of 10.4%. He’s also struggled in even-handed matchups, allowing a .343 wOBA in right-handed hitters this season.
The overpowered Bronx Bombers are expected to destroy Hudson tonight. New York’s roster should feature at least five hitters with 115 wRC+ or better against right-handers from last year and another with 106 wRC+. So they are talented and deep.
Yet Aaron Judge ($5,300) is undoubtedly the best option in this stack. Since last year, he has pulverized right-handers, owning a .379 OBP, .299 ISO and 167 wRC+.
The Minnesota Twins are the only suggested stack with a potentially tricky game. But, of course, it depends on the version of Jose Berrios toes off the slab in his old stomping ground. In the right-hander’s last six starts, he hasn’t allowed more than three runs while running a 3.00 ERA and 3.02 xFIP. However, Berrios wolfed down cupcakes during his recent stellar streak.
Plus, he’s been a tire fire for 15 starts, sporting a 5.86 ERA and 4.38 xFIP while coughing up 1.95 homers per nine innings. Overall, among qualified pitchers this season, Berrios has the third-highest xERA (5.17) and highest homer rate (1.73 home runs per nine innings). So, it’s not hard to imagine the Twins tearing up Berrios if he returns to pre-July form.
Berrios has also been terrorized by southpaws this year, coughing up a .358 wOBA at them. He wasn’t too shaken against right-handers either, allowing a wOBA of .326. So using Carlos Correa ($3,000) and Byron Buxton ($4,100) fits well in this stack. However, Jorge Polanco ($3,200) is the apple of my eye. The Polanco hitting the switch has had a .238 ISO and 133 wRC+ against right-handers since last year.
Luis Arraez ($2,900) and Nick Gordon ($2,200) are two players with capped salaries that I also like. Arraez has had a 129 wRC+ against right-handers since last year. Gordon has only had a 99 wRC+ against right-handers since 2021, but he made significant progress in his second season at the majors. This season, left-handed hitter Gordon has achieved a 110 wRC+ against right-handers. Again, Twins are not a safe stack, but they are a high potential option in GPPs.
Joshua Shepardson is not an employee of FanDuel. In addition to providing DFS gameplay tips, Joshua Shepardson also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username bchad50. Although the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal opinions, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when participating in contests with his personal account. The opinions expressed in his articles engage only the author and do not necessarily reflect the opinions of FanDuel.