2022 NFL Schedule Release, Week 1 Odds, Tips: History says Bengals are set to fade and roll with Rams in opening games

2022 NFL Schedule Release, Week 1 Odds, Tips: History says Bengals are set to fade and roll with Rams in opening games

The NFL has released its entire 18-week schedule for the upcoming 2022 season and isn’t pulling any punches right out of the gate. The Week 1 roster is packed with multiple high-profile matchups to kick-start the season.

Some of the more notable matchups include reigning Super Bowl champion Rams taking on betting favorites for this year’s Super Bowl LVII — the Bills — at the season opener in Los Angeles. Meanwhile, Russell Wilson will immediately make his first trip back to Seattle to face off against his former Seahawks team when he makes his Broncos debut on Monday Night Football.

Of course, as we comb through this schedule, we also get our first look at the betting odds for these week 1 matchups. Below are the starting odds for the opening table and our first picks on how we think each game will unfold.

All NFL odds via Caesars Sportsbook.

Record 2021

regular season
Castles of the week ATS
: 50-36-4
ATS: 131-137-4
ML: 169-102-1

endgames
ATS: 8-5
ML: 7-6

Bills at Rams (-1)

Both teams look like juggernauts and will likely be viewed as Super Bowl favorites throughout the season. However, there seems to be a little more juice for the reigning champions as they begin their title defenses. The defending champions, dating back to Super Bowl XXXIV, are 18-3 SU and 13-6-2 ATS in Week 1. That alone should have people leaning towards the Rams, especially when they head into Year 2 with Matthew Stafford walk.

projected score: Aries 30, Bills 27
The selection
: Aries -1

The Saints are embracing a new regime after Sean Payton stepped down this offseason, but there’s still plenty of continuity as former defensive coordinator Dennis Allen has risen to head coaching position. They’ll also have quarterback Jameis Winston back in the fold after missing most of the year with a cruciate ligament rupture. New Orleans went straight up 5-2 to start 2021 with Winston under center, outperforming their opponents at that stretch 176-128. They will open the year against a Falcons team, quarterback Matt Ryan traded away, and will likely start veteran Marcus Mariota in week 1. For questions about Atlanta’s offense, it may be prudent to lay the points and roll with a New Orleans roster will have Michael Thomas, Alvin Kamara and Chris Olave at Winston’s disposal.

projected score: Saints 28, Falcons 20
The selection
: Holy -3.5

This is a difficult game to project as we don’t know Deshaun Watson’s status for this game as he could still be penalized by the league. Having been acquired by the Browns in this deal with the Texans, his extension suggests they are preparing for some sort of suspension. Because of this, that range is narrower than people might think, as sportsbooks are likely to hedge somewhat in the event that he is indeed suspended and Jacoby Brissett – or even Baker Mayfield – starts instead. Even if they introduce a backup, the Panthers aren’t expected to be any better than they were a year ago, so Cleveland shouldn’t have a problem getting the away win.

projected score: Brown 28, Panther 20
The selection
: Brown -4.5

We still don’t know exactly how the quarterback situation will play out in San Francisco. While it was a guarantee Jimmy Garoppolo would be traded away if former top pick Trey Lance moves up in QB1, the veteran is still on the list. Regardless of who ultimately wins the bid, however, the 49ers should be viewed as a sizeable favorite against Chicago. The Bears have a new head coach and a sophomore quarterback who is short of guns, so 2022 could be another bad year if they continue this rebuild. San Francisco was also on the road in 2021 with 8-4 ATS.

projected score: 49ers 28, Bears 17
The selection
: 49ers-6

Similar to the Rams selection, some historical trends paint a clearer picture of how we might see the Bengals in Week 1. Dating back to Super Bowl XXXIV, the Super Bowl loser is 8-13 SU and 4-17 ATS in the Week 1 opener. For the past eight seasons, the team that lost the previous Super Bowl has 2-6 ATS. While Cincinnati has met much of its needs this offseason (particularly along the offensive line), is it possible that the Steelers can beat them in the first game of the post-Big Ben era? History shows that it is possible.

projected score: Bengal 24, Steelers 21
The selection
: Steelers +6

If you bet on the NFL last season, you know that the Lions were very friendly to punters. Despite their 3-13-1 record, they had 11-6 ATS and were a tough nut to crack for most of their opponents. This off-season, they added pass-rush help to Aidan Hutchinson, No. 2 overall, and gave Jared Goff another go-to receiver in Jameson Williams, who was picked 12th overall. While Detroit may have a better all-around roster heading into 2022, the Eagles have also revamped their depth chart and are a sleeper team to watch in the NFC. Offensively, they added AJ Brown and gave Jalen Hurts another star pass catcher, who joined sophomore DeVonta Smith. The Lions will close and cover it, but Philly eventually pulls out the W.

projected score: eagle 27, lion 24
The selection
: Lions +3.5

Colts (-7.5) at Texans

The Colts are the biggest favorites on the opening list at the moment, and with good reason. They’ve dramatically improved their quarterback situation, swapping Carson Wentz for Matt Ryan, and improved a defense that was already ranked No. 8 on the DVOA last season. Ryan should come out of the gate hot against a developing Texas club, especially with weapons like Jonathan Taylor and Michael Pittman.

projected score: Foal 33, Texan 20
The selection
: foals -7.5

Miami has packed this offseason, surrounding Tua Tagovailoa with players like wideout Tyreek Hill, tackle Terron Armstead and running backs Raheem Mostert and Chase Edmonds. That’s an improvement on the collection of talent that has been able to sweep New England in 2021. Meanwhile, the Patriots are hoping for a Year 2 jump in Mac Jones but still have plenty of questions defensively. For this game defending Hill and Jaylen Waddle’s speed could be a problem for this New England secondary who lost to JC Jackson in a free hand.

projected score: Dolphins 27, Patriots 23
The selection
: Dolphins -3

This number seems a little too low. New York had a great off-season but they’re still in rebuild mode rather than really making an attempt to compete in the AFC. The Ravens, meanwhile, were swallowed up by the injury virus in 2021 and, if they stay healthy this summer, should start the year as a dark horse in the conference. They also have a clear QB advantage over Zach Wilson with Lamar Jackson.

projected score: Ravens 33, Jets 24
The selection
: Ravens -4

I think the change in coaching from Urban Meyer to Doug Pederson will do wonders for the Jaguars. Trevor Lawrence is still a towering prospect as he rolls into Year 2 and could very well make a seismic leap in 2022. Meanwhile, the Commanders aren’t inspiring much confidence this season with Carson Wentz at center. After all, this is the same quarterback who committed two turnovers in Jacksonville in Week 18 last year as a member of the Colts that missed the playoffs.

projected score: Jaguars 24, Commanders 21
The selection
: Jaguars +4.5

The Cardinals have had a historic start to the season under Kliff Kingsbury. During his tenure, Arizona outscored opponents 89-60 in Week 1. While the Chiefs will be a legitimate title contender this season, I think it may take some time for this offense to take hold as they try to work in a number of new pass catchers. Of course, this adjustment period will bring the games closer than would normally be the case with a team with more continuity. Not having DeAndre Hopkins (suspended) for the opener will hurt the Cardinals, but they will find a way to cover.

projected score: chiefs 28, cardinals 27
The selection
: Cardinals +3

This is a defining game for these two AFC West clubs. This division has been going through an arms race this offseason, and every game will be hugely important for placement in the playoffs. While these two rivals have powerful weapons on offense, it will come down to which pass-rushing duo β€” Joey Bosa and Khalil Mack or Chandler Jones and Maxx Crosby β€” can be after the quarterback. Since LA has the better O-Line, I’d say they have the advantage of keeping their QB upright and covered.

projected score: Chargers 33, Hunters 28
The selection
: Chargers -4

Aaron Rodgers had broken his six-year winning streak in Week 1 last season when the Packers fell to the Saints, but the back-to-back NFL MVP has played historically well earlier in the year. For his career, Rodgers is at 10-4 SU in Week 1 and has a 100.2 passing rating in those games. Meanwhile, Kirk Cousins ​​is .500 as a starter for the Vikings in Week 1 and has lost the last two. It will be interesting to see how Green Bay’s offense goes without Davante Adams, but Rodgers is finding a way to squeeze out the win.

projected score: Packer 27. Viking 24
The selection
: Packers -1.5

Tennessee was one of the better home teams in the NFL last season, covering 60% of their games at Nissan Stadium (fifth-best NFL record). While receiver AJ Brown’s loss will certainly be felt, that offense is still running through running back Derrick Henry. If he goes into the season in full health, they can move football against a Giants defense that’s ranked 32nd in the NFL against run in 2021. Even if they are marginally better against the run this year, Henry should still be able to eat it.

projected score: Titans 28, Giants 21
The selection
: Titans -6.5

This line feels wrong. The Buccaneers were a bad bet on the road in 2021, owning a 3-6 ATS mark for the year. While Dallas played five of their nine home games last season, they held a 12-point lead, which ranked second-highest in the NFL. The Cowboys have top-notch defenses to take on Tom Brady and plenty of guns to rack up points.

projected score: Cowboys 33, Buccaneers 30
The selection
: Cowboys +3

Broncos (-3.5) at Seahawks

This feels like a game where Russell Wilson folds. He makes his Broncos debut in Seattle against his former team, the Seahawks. As rumors swirled last year that he was leaving the organization, Wilson threw four touchdowns and had a 133 passer rating in his final home game in Week 17. I expect he’ll put on a similarly scintillating performance with his new Broncos weapons. With no viable quarterback on the other side to fight him, Seattle is left in the dust.

projected score: Broncos 30, Seahawks 20
The selection
: Wild Horses -3.5

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