Series Preview: Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels

When the Angels come to town this Friday, it will be the first time the Mariners have seen them in over a month. When the two teams last met in late June, they were virtually at an impasse, record-wise, with the Angels having lost some of their early-season shine and the Mariners starting to battle their way out of the game. a miserable May and June swoon…and we mean fight, because the last time these two teams saw each other, well, you probably know what happened.

Since then, the two teams couldn’t have gone in more different directions. The Mariners fought their way to second place in the division and gave themselves a better chance than outside of a Wild Card spot, and the Angels … didn’t do that. Things have gone very, very badly for the Angels, from a 3-15 record in July and an all-time batting average of .195, to the news that Mike Trout has been diagnosed with a back injury that requires more than a working knowledge of WebMD. to understand, to the possible sale of some of their players at the trade deadline, including starter Noah Syndergaard, signed to a one-year contract, closer Raisel Iglesias, who had just signed a four-year contract before this season, and young outfielder Brandon Marsh.

I don’t even know who’s in the Angels anymore? Or what the Mariners are doing with their rotation, officially? All of this is made more complicated by Saturday’s doubleheader? So take this list of likely pitchers with a very large grain of salt.

In short

sailors angels
sailors angels
Game 1 Friday August 5 | 7:10 p.m.
LHP Robbie Ray LHP Patrick Sandoval
60% 40%
Game 2 (DH) Saturday August 6 | 1:10 p.m.
RHP George Kirby RHP Touki Toussaint
57% 43%
Game 3 (DH) Saturday August 6 | 7:10 p.m.
HRP Chris Flexen LHP Reid Detmers
57% 43%
Game 4 Sunday August 7 | 1:10 p.m.
LHP Marco Gonzales LHP Tucker Davidson
56% 44%

*Game odds courtesy of FanGraphs

Also of note: I’m doing this series preview because Jake stepped out this week to welcome a brand new baby into his family. Congratulations to Jacques! But also, please excuse any errors as I’m the “I have no idea what I’m doing” dog trying to mess with Jake’s tables. Sorry Jacques! I hope you have copies of all of this.

Team presentation

Insight angels sailors Edge
Insight angels sailors Edge
Batter (wRC+) 92 (13th in AL) 106 (5th in AL) sailors
Fielding (OAA) 1 (10th) 8 (7th) sailors
Starting pitch (FIP-) 93 (4th) 113 (12th) angels
Bullpen (FIP-) 101 (10th) 99 (7th) sailors

Shohei Ohtani single-handedly maintains the Angels’ starting mark while Marco single-handedly pushes the Mariners down, but I think we all know those numbers aren’t as close as they seem. Consider the benefits of the Mariners even greater with trade deadline moves taken into consideration.

range of angels

Player Position Bats Pennsylvania BABIP CMR+ BsR
Player Position Bats Pennsylvania BABIP CMR+ BsR
Neighborhood Taylor RF R 335 0.337 139 1.0
Shohei Ohtani DH L 433 0.284 133 0.4
Jared Walsh 1B L 382 0.298 89 -1.3
Luis Rengifo 2B S 265 0.320 110 2.2
Max Stassi VS R 253 0.287 87 -2.0
Jose Rojas 3B L 27 0.158 -28 -0.1
Andrew Velasquez SS S 262 0.248 35 2.8
I Adell LF R 141 0.325 81 -0.3
Kurt Suzuki VS R 119 0.21 64 -0.8
Mike Trout heart rate R 262 0.333 187 -0.9

Putting this roster together now versus what it looked like a month ago or since the start of the season was crazy. Not only have several Halos stalwarts on the IL – Mike Trout, Matt Duffy, Anthony Rendon – several others been fired in the trades: no more Brandon Marsh or Tyler Wade. I had to look at Thursday’s box score to even begin to guess which players might slot in where, so again forgive me if there are any mistakes. Mickey Moniak appears to be taking over for Trout at center in his absence as Jo Adell is barely a corner fielder, but Magneuris Sierra is also in that mix, and several other players on the roster have positional flexibility to cover some outfields. . Currently, however, the angels are just throwing stuff at the wall and seeing what sticks.

Probable Pitchers

Updated Stuff + Explainer

Again, apologies here, as this is Jake’s domain and I don’t know enough about who might start doing the nice tables, or how to do the nice tables. I cobbled together this list of likely starters from a Twitter search of various Angels beats and fan sites. The only thing we know for sure is that we’ll see Patrick Sandoval to start the series, so here’s what Jake has written about being left-handed in the past:

It is difficult to understand Patrick Sandoval. It has one of the best changes in baseball with an over 50% smell rate. He can manipulate the terrain to generate more vertical or horizontal movement depending on what the situation calls for, but the end result is usually the same: a swinging strike. He also has a pair of really good breaking balls, with the slider being his go-to weapon against left-handed hitters. The problem is his fastball. Of all four-seam fastballs thrown at least 100 times this year, his has the fourth-lowest strike rate of all. This is one of the main reasons why his takedown rate has dropped three points from last year despite having an arsenal full of excellent secondary weapons.

Since this write-up, Sandoval’s strikeout rate has rebounded to be in line with his 2021 numbers, but he’s walking a hair higher, showing that his command issues still haven’t resolved themselves. He’s also been extremely lucky with just 4.9% HR/FB rate, a third of his career rating, but so far in the second rate he allows a slugging mark about 100 points higher. (.444) than his first-half rate, suggesting that number is due for some regression soon.

Aside from Sandoval, the Mariners won’t see another mainstay in the Angels’ pitching rotation: Ohtani just pitched Wednesday, Syndergaard is gone and Michael Lorenzen is injured. They will at some point have to deal with Reid Detmers and his curveball, as well as his propensity to tick off major pitching accomplishments: He already has a no-hitter and an immaculate inning under his belt this year. Detmers was opted for Triple-A just before the Mariners face the Angels at the end of June after taking a bit of a beating in his two previous starts, but he’s been strong since joining the club, only giving up three total points earned in July; however, due to the incompetence of the Angels’ offense and bullpen, he won only one of those four contests.

The Mariners will also likely see the Atlanta Angels trade return for Iglesias, left-hander Tucker Davidson. The 26-year-old has spent most of this season in Triple-A but will be pressed to serve in the major league for the Angels. Davidson doesn’t have a big fastball – 91-93 MPH – but he is able to ride it in a way that induces soft contact. His second pitch is a slider that flashes above average but lacks consistency, and he’ll also throw a 12-6 curveball that ranks just average or slightly below. He’s the kind of pitcher who shouldn’t thwart the Mariners offense, and yet so often does.

In addition to Davidson, chances are the Mariners will see much of the other part of Iglesias’ trade return in old friend Jesse Chavez. Touki Touissant, acquired from Atlanta in early July for cash, is listed in some places as a possible starter for the doubleheader, but the Angels had to use him Thursday as an emergency backup for 4.1 innings when the leaving Janson Junk turned on. in 2.1 innings of work, giving up six earned runs. That’s fine with me, because I really like Touki, who played with the Peoria Javelinas in 2017, and I don’t want to root against him.

The big picture:

The AL West

Crew WL W% Games behind Recent form
Crew WL W% Games behind Recent form
Astros 69-38 0.645 WLLW
sailors 57-49 0.538 11.5 WLLWW
Rangers 47-58 0.448 21.0 WLLW
angels 44-61 0.419 24.0 WLWLL
Athletics 41-66 0.383 28.0 LLLWW

The Wild Card Race

Crew WL W% Games behind Recent form
Crew WL W% Games behind Recent form
blue jays 59-46 0.562 +3.0 7-3
sailors 57-49 0.538 +0.5 6-4
Rays 56-49 0.533 4-6
Orioles 54-41 0.514 2.0 7-3
Guardians 54-41 0.514 2.0 6-4
White socks 53-52 0.505 3.0 6-4
Red Sox 53-54 0.495 4.0 4-6

Not much has changed here since the last preview taping of the series, but watch out for those Orioles, sneaking into the Wild Card race. It stinks of rooting against the Orioles but sorry, Birdland, a girl has to do what she has to do.

Posted In MLB

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